Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000048 0.000051 0.000053 0.000056 0.000058 0.000061 0.000065
2025-04-20 0.000043 0.000046 0.000049 0.000053 0.000058 0.000062 0.000068
2025-04-27 0.000040 0.000043 0.000047 0.000052 0.000058 0.000064 0.000071
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000043 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060 0.000067 0.000077
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000042 0.000047 0.000053 0.000061 0.000070 0.000082
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000076 0.000092
2025-06-01 0.000033 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092
2025-06-08 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000102
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000079 0.000102
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000101
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000076 0.000100
2025-07-13 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000099
2025-07-20 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000057 0.000074 0.000101
2025-07-27 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077 0.000107
2025-08-03 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000080 0.000113
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063 0.000085 0.000124
2025-08-17 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000062 0.000085 0.000124
2025-08-24 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000060 0.000083 0.000123
2025-08-31 0.000022 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000061 0.000085 0.000128
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000062 0.000088 0.000136
2025-09-14 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000061 0.000087 0.000135